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Refraining from local proceedings was not unreasonable
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Articles 1116 and 1117 are different and not a mere formality
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Compensation is improper for claims brought under 1116, Canada argues
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Compensation does not proceed from reflective losses
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“High standard of factual certainty” required to establish causality
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Project would not have proceeded “in all probability”
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No tax gross-up to account for home state’s taxes
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Uncertainty would have doomed the investors’ claims for lost profits
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For co-arbitrator, failure to mitigate justifies limited compensation
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Investors are awarded slightly more than their sunk costs, at $7 million
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Duty to mitigate applies to investor in NAFTA context, tempered by reasonableness
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Damages under NAFTA not the same as domestic judicial review
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Home state submission supports host state on reflective loss and valuation date
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Subsequent practice of NAFTA parties on reflective loss takes precedence over arbitral case-law, Canada recalls
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Investors respond to US filing
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Investors argue that NAFTA states have all misinterpreted Article 1116
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Shareholder/company distinction underpins Canada’s response
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No causal link between JRP breaches and project’s failure
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Investors insist that project was lawfully required to be approved; failure to approve therefore directly caused loss
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Tribunal did not decide whether project might have been rejected on some other basis
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Cases on valuation date are inapplicable here; no grounds for gross-up to account for tax imposed by non-disputing state
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Claimants seek $443 million in lost profits, using DCF model
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DCF not applicable, Canada says; arbitrators should look at amounts invested instead
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Investors claim project is secure enough for DCF; precedent exists both for valuation at date of award and for tax gross-up
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